Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather, the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, and international models show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 likely falling between 12–16°C, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under a moderating air mass. This setup contrasts with the deeper cool anomalies seen earlier in the week, as higher dew points and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress further temperature drops below historical averages near 11°C. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in overnight minimums and uncertainty around exact resolution criteria for the official station reading, with any last-minute shifts in wind or precipitation potentially tipping the minimum by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
88%
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
$145 Vol.
90%
6°C
$15 Vol.
50%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$6 Vol.
26%
14°C
$10 Vol.
50%
15°C or higher
$145 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather, the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, and international models show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 likely falling between 12–16°C, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under a moderating air mass. This setup contrasts with the deeper cool anomalies seen earlier in the week, as higher dew points and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress further temperature drops below historical averages near 11°C. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in overnight minimums and uncertainty around exact resolution criteria for the official station reading, with any last-minute shifts in wind or precipitation potentially tipping the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$321End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather, the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, and international models show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 likely falling between 12–16°C, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under a moderating air mass. This setup contrasts with the deeper cool anomalies seen earlier in the week, as higher dew points and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress further temperature drops below historical averages near 11°C. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in overnight minimums and uncertainty around exact resolution criteria for the official station reading, with any last-minute shifts in wind or precipitation potentially tipping the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$321End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather, the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, and international models show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 likely falling between 12–16°C, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under a moderating air mass. This setup contrasts with the deeper cool anomalies seen earlier in the week, as higher dew points and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress further temperature drops below historical averages near 11°C. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in overnight minimums and uncertainty around exact resolution criteria for the official station reading, with any last-minute shifts in wind or precipitation potentially tipping the minimum by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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