Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model outputs and agencies like Yandex Pogoda, project a daytime high near 21–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a chance of scattered showers. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influences and regional airflow patterns that limit solar heating and moisture convergence, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological norms of 22–24°C. Model agreement on peak timing and modest diurnal range supports the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (51%) and 22°C (38%), though minor revisions in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the observed maximum within the 20–23°C band before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
21°C 53%
22°C 37%
20°C 6%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
53%
22°C
37%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 37%
20°C 6%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
53%
22°C
37%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model outputs and agencies like Yandex Pogoda, project a daytime high near 21–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a chance of scattered showers. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influences and regional airflow patterns that limit solar heating and moisture convergence, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological norms of 22–24°C. Model agreement on peak timing and modest diurnal range supports the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (51%) and 22°C (38%), though minor revisions in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the observed maximum within the 20–23°C band before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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