Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to Miami overnight lows near 81–83°F on August 30, driven by persistent tropical humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 78–80°F further suppress temperature drops after sunset, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima hover around 79°F but current conditions favor warmer readings. The closely matched market probabilities around 78–83°F reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing versus continued cloudiness, with official Miami International Airport observations serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs through the evening will refine these expectations ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$124 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$164 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$56 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$24 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$252 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$272 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$76 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$35 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$55 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to Miami overnight lows near 81–83°F on August 30, driven by persistent tropical humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 78–80°F further suppress temperature drops after sunset, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima hover around 79°F but current conditions favor warmer readings. The closely matched market probabilities around 78–83°F reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing versus continued cloudiness, with official Miami International Airport observations serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs through the evening will refine these expectations ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,087End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to Miami overnight lows near 81–83°F on August 30, driven by persistent tropical humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 78–80°F further suppress temperature drops after sunset, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima hover around 79°F but current conditions favor warmer readings. The closely matched market probabilities around 78–83°F reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing versus continued cloudiness, with official Miami International Airport observations serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs through the evening will refine these expectations ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,087End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to Miami overnight lows near 81–83°F on August 30, driven by persistent tropical humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 78–80°F further suppress temperature drops after sunset, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima hover around 79°F but current conditions favor warmer readings. The closely matched market probabilities around 78–83°F reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing versus continued cloudiness, with official Miami International Airport observations serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs through the evening will refine these expectations ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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