Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Denver's overnight low on August 30 will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly cloudy skies, light and variable winds, and only modest radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from daytime thunderstorm activity limits clear-sky heat loss, while dew points near 50°F and southwest flow maintain mild conditions atypical for late August climatology. Forecast spread across guidance creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F bins, with lower-probability tails reflecting possible breaks in clouds or localized showers that could nudge the minimum a few degrees cooler. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
60-61°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 31%
66-67°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
23%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 31%
66-67°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
23%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
37%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$9 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
2%
78°F or higher
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Denver's overnight low on August 30 will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly cloudy skies, light and variable winds, and only modest radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from daytime thunderstorm activity limits clear-sky heat loss, while dew points near 50°F and southwest flow maintain mild conditions atypical for late August climatology. Forecast spread across guidance creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F bins, with lower-probability tails reflecting possible breaks in clouds or localized showers that could nudge the minimum a few degrees cooler. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$104End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Denver's overnight low on August 30 will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly cloudy skies, light and variable winds, and only modest radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from daytime thunderstorm activity limits clear-sky heat loss, while dew points near 50°F and southwest flow maintain mild conditions atypical for late August climatology. Forecast spread across guidance creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F bins, with lower-probability tails reflecting possible breaks in clouds or localized showers that could nudge the minimum a few degrees cooler. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$104End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Denver's overnight low on August 30 will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly cloudy skies, light and variable winds, and only modest radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from daytime thunderstorm activity limits clear-sky heat loss, while dew points near 50°F and southwest flow maintain mild conditions atypical for late August climatology. Forecast spread across guidance creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F bins, with lower-probability tails reflecting possible breaks in clouds or localized showers that could nudge the minimum a few degrees cooler. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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