Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models project a Denver high near 87–90 °F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon thunderstorms that introduce the main uncertainty. Increased cloud cover and scattered convection could cap peak heating by limiting solar insolation and triggering earlier mixing, favoring the tightly contested 86–89 °F market bins. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 20 mph will enhance mixing but also steer storms, while dew points in the mid-40s to low-50s keep surface-based instability moderate. The slight edge to 88–89 °F reflects recent model runs that sustain warmer boundary-layer temperatures before widespread showers develop, whereas earlier or stronger storms would shift probabilities toward 86–87 °F. Updated NWS and mesoscale guidance through the evening of August 29 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 30?
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models project a Denver high near 87–90 °F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon thunderstorms that introduce the main uncertainty. Increased cloud cover and scattered convection could cap peak heating by limiting solar insolation and triggering earlier mixing, favoring the tightly contested 86–89 °F market bins. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 20 mph will enhance mixing but also steer storms, while dew points in the mid-40s to low-50s keep surface-based instability moderate. The slight edge to 88–89 °F reflects recent model runs that sustain warmer boundary-layer temperatures before widespread showers develop, whereas earlier or stronger storms would shift probabilities toward 86–87 °F. Updated NWS and mesoscale guidance through the evening of August 29 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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