**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate the overnight low for Denver on August 29 will likely settle in the low to mid-60s°F.** Official guidance projects a minimum near 62–63°F under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the upper 40s, supporting gradual radiative cooling after evening thunderstorms dissipate. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes around 64–65°F (57.5% implied probability) and the cluster of 58–63°F ranges (each ~41.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and any lingering moisture that could limit further drops. Historical late-August averages near 56°F provide context, but current warm advection and lack of strong cold-air intrusion keep probabilities for 57°F or below very low (1.5%). No major model divergences or rapid changes have emerged in the latest runs, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these narrow bands until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 29?
58-59°F 42%
60-61°F 42%
62-63°F 42%
57°F or below 2%
$1,635 Vol.
$1,635 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
42%
62-63°F
42%
64-65°F
57%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 42%
60-61°F 42%
62-63°F 42%
57°F or below 2%
$1,635 Vol.
$1,635 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
$64 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
42%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
42%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
42%
64-65°F
$48 Vol.
57%
66-67°F
$520 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$223 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$69 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate the overnight low for Denver on August 29 will likely settle in the low to mid-60s°F.** Official guidance projects a minimum near 62–63°F under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the upper 40s, supporting gradual radiative cooling after evening thunderstorms dissipate.
This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes around 64–65°F (57.5% implied probability) and the cluster of 58–63°F ranges (each ~41.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and any lingering moisture that could limit further drops. Historical late-August averages near 56°F provide context, but current warm advection and lack of strong cold-air intrusion keep probabilities for 57°F or below very low (1.5%). No major model divergences or rapid changes have emerged in the latest runs, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these narrow bands until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,635End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate the overnight low for Denver on August 29 will likely settle in the low to mid-60s°F.** Official guidance projects a minimum near 62–63°F under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the upper 40s, supporting gradual radiative cooling after evening thunderstorms dissipate.
This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes around 64–65°F (57.5% implied probability) and the cluster of 58–63°F ranges (each ~41.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and any lingering moisture that could limit further drops. Historical late-August averages near 56°F provide context, but current warm advection and lack of strong cold-air intrusion keep probabilities for 57°F or below very low (1.5%). No major model divergences or rapid changes have emerged in the latest runs, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these narrow bands until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,635End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate the overnight low for Denver on August 29 will likely settle in the low to mid-60s°F.** Official guidance projects a minimum near 62–63°F under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the upper 40s, supporting gradual radiative cooling after evening thunderstorms dissipate. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes around 64–65°F (57.5% implied probability) and the cluster of 58–63°F ranges (each ~41.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and any lingering moisture that could limit further drops. Historical late-August averages near 56°F provide context, but current warm advection and lack of strong cold-air intrusion keep probabilities for 57°F or below very low (1.5%). No major model divergences or rapid changes have emerged in the latest runs, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these narrow bands until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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