**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature range of 22–26°C for Busan on August 30 amid generally cloudy skies and scattered showers, establishing the primary driver behind the closely matched market odds.** Persistent cloud cover and potential rainfall overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling while southwesterly flow and high humidity maintain mild conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus points to a narrow daily temperature range typical of the region's maritime influence, though timing of any heavier precipitation and exact wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the overnight minimum. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast envelope against historical variability, with the 22°C-or-below outcome capturing scenarios of enhanced cooling under sustained overcast or rain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
22°C or below 76%
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
76%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 76%
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
76%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature range of 22–26°C for Busan on August 30 amid generally cloudy skies and scattered showers, establishing the primary driver behind the closely matched market odds.** Persistent cloud cover and potential rainfall overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling while southwesterly flow and high humidity maintain mild conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus points to a narrow daily temperature range typical of the region's maritime influence, though timing of any heavier precipitation and exact wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the overnight minimum. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast envelope against historical variability, with the 22°C-or-below outcome capturing scenarios of enhanced cooling under sustained overcast or rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$465End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature range of 22–26°C for Busan on August 30 amid generally cloudy skies and scattered showers, establishing the primary driver behind the closely matched market odds.** Persistent cloud cover and potential rainfall overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling while southwesterly flow and high humidity maintain mild conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus points to a narrow daily temperature range typical of the region's maritime influence, though timing of any heavier precipitation and exact wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the overnight minimum. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast envelope against historical variability, with the 22°C-or-below outcome capturing scenarios of enhanced cooling under sustained overcast or rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$465End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature range of 22–26°C for Busan on August 30 amid generally cloudy skies and scattered showers, establishing the primary driver behind the closely matched market odds.** Persistent cloud cover and potential rainfall overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling while southwesterly flow and high humidity maintain mild conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus points to a narrow daily temperature range typical of the region's maritime influence, though timing of any heavier precipitation and exact wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the overnight minimum. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast envelope against historical variability, with the 22°C-or-below outcome capturing scenarios of enhanced cooling under sustained overcast or rain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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