Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a consensus range of 29–32°C for Busan’s August 31 high, driven by warm late-summer sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, southwesterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports daytime heating before scattered showers develop. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August climatology—where daily maxima average near 30°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C—place 31–33°C outcomes as the most probable under partly cloudy conditions, while stronger onshore winds or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated model runs through the weekend and official KMA briefings on the 30th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on the official daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 31?
32°C 47%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
47%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$101 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$174 Vol.
2%
29°C
$11 Vol.
5%
30°C
$220 Vol.
5%
31°C
$186 Vol.
21%
32°C
$578 Vol.
47%
33°C
$60 Vol.
22%
34°C
$16 Vol.
6%
35°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a consensus range of 29–32°C for Busan’s August 31 high, driven by warm late-summer sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, southwesterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports daytime heating before scattered showers develop. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August climatology—where daily maxima average near 30°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C—place 31–33°C outcomes as the most probable under partly cloudy conditions, while stronger onshore winds or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated model runs through the weekend and official KMA briefings on the 30th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,564End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a consensus range of 29–32°C for Busan’s August 31 high, driven by warm late-summer sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, southwesterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports daytime heating before scattered showers develop. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August climatology—where daily maxima average near 30°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C—place 31–33°C outcomes as the most probable under partly cloudy conditions, while stronger onshore winds or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated model runs through the weekend and official KMA briefings on the 30th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,564End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a consensus range of 29–32°C for Busan’s August 31 high, driven by warm late-summer sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, southwesterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports daytime heating before scattered showers develop. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August climatology—where daily maxima average near 30°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C—place 31–33°C outcomes as the most probable under partly cloudy conditions, while stronger onshore winds or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated model runs through the weekend and official KMA briefings on the 30th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on the official daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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