Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Sunday high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City, with Central Park forecasts centered near 83–85 °F under partly sunny skies and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary is expected to advect modest moisture while daytime heating remains near seasonal normals, limiting extreme departures. Cloud timing and shower initiation will determine whether the peak reaches the upper 80s or stays capped in the low 80s, creating the tight clustering around the 82–85 °F bins. With resolution occurring in roughly 24 hours, updated model runs and observed trends in boundary-layer moisture will be the decisive inputs for trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$858 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$3,342 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$314 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$793 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$1,583 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$782 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$629 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$159 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Sunday high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City, with Central Park forecasts centered near 83–85 °F under partly sunny skies and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary is expected to advect modest moisture while daytime heating remains near seasonal normals, limiting extreme departures. Cloud timing and shower initiation will determine whether the peak reaches the upper 80s or stays capped in the low 80s, creating the tight clustering around the 82–85 °F bins. With resolution occurring in roughly 24 hours, updated model runs and observed trends in boundary-layer moisture will be the decisive inputs for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,964End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Sunday high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City, with Central Park forecasts centered near 83–85 °F under partly sunny skies and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary is expected to advect modest moisture while daytime heating remains near seasonal normals, limiting extreme departures. Cloud timing and shower initiation will determine whether the peak reaches the upper 80s or stays capped in the low 80s, creating the tight clustering around the 82–85 °F bins. With resolution occurring in roughly 24 hours, updated model runs and observed trends in boundary-layer moisture will be the decisive inputs for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,964End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Sunday high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City, with Central Park forecasts centered near 83–85 °F under partly sunny skies and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary is expected to advect modest moisture while daytime heating remains near seasonal normals, limiting extreme departures. Cloud timing and shower initiation will determine whether the peak reaches the upper 80s or stays capped in the low 80s, creating the tight clustering around the 82–85 °F bins. With resolution occurring in roughly 24 hours, updated model runs and observed trends in boundary-layer moisture will be the decisive inputs for trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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