National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29 point to sunny conditions with highs in the lower 80s, supporting the market's strong weighting toward the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Northerly winds of 5-10 mph and low dew points near 52-55°F are limiting afternoon heating and moisture, keeping readings aligned with late-August climatological norms around 81°F at Central Park and LaGuardia. Recent model runs show minimal convective activity or warm-air advection that could push peaks higher, while current observations confirm steady climbs through the mid-70s by midday. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from NOAA stations, with limited upside risk given stable high-pressure influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 29?
78-79°F 64%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$31,241 Vol.
$31,241 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
64%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 64%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$31,241 Vol.
$31,241 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$236 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$418 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,792 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,574 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$9,279 Vol.
64%
80-81°F
$5,921 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$3,541 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$2,357 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$474 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29 point to sunny conditions with highs in the lower 80s, supporting the market's strong weighting toward the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Northerly winds of 5-10 mph and low dew points near 52-55°F are limiting afternoon heating and moisture, keeping readings aligned with late-August climatological norms around 81°F at Central Park and LaGuardia. Recent model runs show minimal convective activity or warm-air advection that could push peaks higher, while current observations confirm steady climbs through the mid-70s by midday. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from NOAA stations, with limited upside risk given stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$31,241End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29 point to sunny conditions with highs in the lower 80s, supporting the market's strong weighting toward the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Northerly winds of 5-10 mph and low dew points near 52-55°F are limiting afternoon heating and moisture, keeping readings aligned with late-August climatological norms around 81°F at Central Park and LaGuardia. Recent model runs show minimal convective activity or warm-air advection that could push peaks higher, while current observations confirm steady climbs through the mid-70s by midday. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from NOAA stations, with limited upside risk given stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,241End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29 point to sunny conditions with highs in the lower 80s, supporting the market's strong weighting toward the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Northerly winds of 5-10 mph and low dew points near 52-55°F are limiting afternoon heating and moisture, keeping readings aligned with late-August climatological norms around 81°F at Central Park and LaGuardia. Recent model runs show minimal convective activity or warm-air advection that could push peaks higher, while current observations confirm steady climbs through the mid-70s by midday. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from NOAA stations, with limited upside risk given stable high-pressure influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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