Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with Roshydromet and international ensembles, point to a daytime high near 23°C in Moscow on August 31 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances under a stable high-pressure influence. This positions the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, reflecting minor model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud thickness. Near-normal late-August conditions—slightly above the seasonal baseline of around 19–21°C—support this cluster, with limited warming potential from the current pattern. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies or increased moisture alter the thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
23°C 40%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
19%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 40%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$50 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$43 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$221 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$80 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with Roshydromet and international ensembles, point to a daytime high near 23°C in Moscow on August 31 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances under a stable high-pressure influence. This positions the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, reflecting minor model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud thickness. Near-normal late-August conditions—slightly above the seasonal baseline of around 19–21°C—support this cluster, with limited warming potential from the current pattern. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies or increased moisture alter the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$584End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with Roshydromet and international ensembles, point to a daytime high near 23°C in Moscow on August 31 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances under a stable high-pressure influence. This positions the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, reflecting minor model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud thickness. Near-normal late-August conditions—slightly above the seasonal baseline of around 19–21°C—support this cluster, with limited warming potential from the current pattern. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies or increased moisture alter the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$584End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with Roshydromet and international ensembles, point to a daytime high near 23°C in Moscow on August 31 amid variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances under a stable high-pressure influence. This positions the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, reflecting minor model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud thickness. Near-normal late-August conditions—slightly above the seasonal baseline of around 19–21°C—support this cluster, with limited warming potential from the current pattern. Updated model runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies or increased moisture alter the thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions