Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 40%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 13%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
40%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
13%
24°C 40%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 13%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$167 Vol.
1%
21°C
$108 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
4%
23°C
$96 Vol.
11%
24°C
$84 Vol.
40%
25°C
$220 Vol.
37%
26°C or higher
$35 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,278End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,278End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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