Forecast models for Mexico City on August 30 show overnight lows generally clustered between 11–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, reflecting the ongoing rainy season and typical highland radiative cooling at 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations from late August recorded minima near 12–14 °C, consistent with historical averages, while light winds and persistent cloud cover limit further drops. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance creates the tight spread across the 10–13 °C bins, with the modest probability on 6 °C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. The next model runs and official station readings will refine the exact minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
6°C or below 54%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
54%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
6°C or below 54%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$17 Vol.
54%
7°C
$69 Vol.
2%
8°C
$16 Vol.
4%
9°C
$29 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on August 30 show overnight lows generally clustered between 11–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, reflecting the ongoing rainy season and typical highland radiative cooling at 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations from late August recorded minima near 12–14 °C, consistent with historical averages, while light winds and persistent cloud cover limit further drops. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance creates the tight spread across the 10–13 °C bins, with the modest probability on 6 °C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. The next model runs and official station readings will refine the exact minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on August 30 show overnight lows generally clustered between 11–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, reflecting the ongoing rainy season and typical highland radiative cooling at 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations from late August recorded minima near 12–14 °C, consistent with historical averages, while light winds and persistent cloud cover limit further drops. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance creates the tight spread across the 10–13 °C bins, with the modest probability on 6 °C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. The next model runs and official station readings will refine the exact minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on August 30 show overnight lows generally clustered between 11–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, reflecting the ongoing rainy season and typical highland radiative cooling at 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations from late August recorded minima near 12–14 °C, consistent with historical averages, while light winds and persistent cloud cover limit further drops. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance creates the tight spread across the 10–13 °C bins, with the modest probability on 6 °C or below capturing tail-risk scenarios from stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. The next model runs and official station readings will refine the exact minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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