Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with frequent showers and thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This convective activity and high humidity (75-95%) are expected to limit solar insolation and cap the daily maximum temperature near 29-31°C. Model consensus clusters around 30°C, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of heaviest rain bands, with some runs allowing brief clearer intervals for slightly higher readings. Trader consensus in the market reflects this narrow range and inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with frequent showers and thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This convective activity and high humidity (75-95%) are expected to limit solar insolation and cap the daily maximum temperature near 29-31°C. Model consensus clusters around 30°C, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of heaviest rain bands, with some runs allowing brief clearer intervals for slightly higher readings. Trader consensus in the market reflects this narrow range and inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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