Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
31°C 20%
32°C 5%
NEW
$13,487 Vol.
NEW
$13,487 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
41%
30°C
35%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
31°C 20%
32°C 5%
NEW
$13,487 Vol.
NEW
$13,487 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$927 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,503 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,199 Vol.
41%
30°C
$3,203 Vol.
35%
31°C
$1,776 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,004 Vol.
5%
33°C
$500 Vol.
3%
34°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$618 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,487End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,487End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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