Alan Rick holds a modest lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, with 33% support compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24% and Tião Bocalom at 15%, though large shares of undecided and potential runoff voters sustain tight trader pricing near 54-42%. Rick benefits from established name recognition as a sitting senator, a multi-party coalition formalized at July conventions, and consistent first-round advantages in surveys through late August. Assis draws on incumbency after assuming the governorship in April 2026 and reported approval ratings near 67%, yet trails in head-to-head matchups. Minor candidates fragment the field without significant movement. With 40% of voters open to shifts before election day, late polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in Rio Branco could widen separation ahead of any October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 55%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$36,111 Vol.
$36,111 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
55%
Mailza Assis
43%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 55%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$36,111 Vol.
$36,111 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$18,972 Vol.
55%
Mailza Assis
$14,898 Vol.
43%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Vol.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a modest lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, with 33% support compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24% and Tião Bocalom at 15%, though large shares of undecided and potential runoff voters sustain tight trader pricing near 54-42%. Rick benefits from established name recognition as a sitting senator, a multi-party coalition formalized at July conventions, and consistent first-round advantages in surveys through late August. Assis draws on incumbency after assuming the governorship in April 2026 and reported approval ratings near 67%, yet trails in head-to-head matchups. Minor candidates fragment the field without significant movement. With 40% of voters open to shifts before election day, late polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in Rio Branco could widen separation ahead of any October 25 runoff.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$36,111End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a modest lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, with 33% support compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24% and Tião Bocalom at 15%, though large shares of undecided and potential runoff voters sustain tight trader pricing near 54-42%. Rick benefits from established name recognition as a sitting senator, a multi-party coalition formalized at July conventions, and consistent first-round advantages in surveys through late August. Assis draws on incumbency after assuming the governorship in April 2026 and reported approval ratings near 67%, yet trails in head-to-head matchups. Minor candidates fragment the field without significant movement. With 40% of voters open to shifts before election day, late polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in Rio Branco could widen separation ahead of any October 25 runoff.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,111End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick holds a modest lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, with 33% support compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24% and Tião Bocalom at 15%, though large shares of undecided and potential runoff voters sustain tight trader pricing near 54-42%. Rick benefits from established name recognition as a sitting senator, a multi-party coalition formalized at July conventions, and consistent first-round advantages in surveys through late August. Assis draws on incumbency after assuming the governorship in April 2026 and reported approval ratings near 67%, yet trails in head-to-head matchups. Minor candidates fragment the field without significant movement. With 40% of voters open to shifts before election day, late polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in Rio Branco could widen separation ahead of any October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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