Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve as an incumbent justice and vice president of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF), with no successful impeachment proceedings advancing despite opposition criticism. Brazilian STF justices hold lifetime tenure until age 75, and removal requires approval by a Senate supermajority that has not materialized; Bolsonaro-aligned lawmakers secured signatures from roughly 41 senators—short of the 54-vote threshold—with Senate leadership blocking floor action ahead of the 2026 elections. Moraes has remained active in high-profile rulings through mid-2026, including decisions on sentencing laws and related investigations, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year. These institutional barriers and the absence of decisive legislative momentum underpin the strong trader consensus against his departure from the bench.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$30,867 Vol.
$30,867 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$30,867 Vol.
$30,867 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve as an incumbent justice and vice president of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF), with no successful impeachment proceedings advancing despite opposition criticism. Brazilian STF justices hold lifetime tenure until age 75, and removal requires approval by a Senate supermajority that has not materialized; Bolsonaro-aligned lawmakers secured signatures from roughly 41 senators—short of the 54-vote threshold—with Senate leadership blocking floor action ahead of the 2026 elections. Moraes has remained active in high-profile rulings through mid-2026, including decisions on sentencing laws and related investigations, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year. These institutional barriers and the absence of decisive legislative momentum underpin the strong trader consensus against his departure from the bench.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$30,867End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve as an incumbent justice and vice president of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF), with no successful impeachment proceedings advancing despite opposition criticism. Brazilian STF justices hold lifetime tenure until age 75, and removal requires approval by a Senate supermajority that has not materialized; Bolsonaro-aligned lawmakers secured signatures from roughly 41 senators—short of the 54-vote threshold—with Senate leadership blocking floor action ahead of the 2026 elections. Moraes has remained active in high-profile rulings through mid-2026, including decisions on sentencing laws and related investigations, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year. These institutional barriers and the absence of decisive legislative momentum underpin the strong trader consensus against his departure from the bench.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,867End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve as an incumbent justice and vice president of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF), with no successful impeachment proceedings advancing despite opposition criticism. Brazilian STF justices hold lifetime tenure until age 75, and removal requires approval by a Senate supermajority that has not materialized; Bolsonaro-aligned lawmakers secured signatures from roughly 41 senators—short of the 54-vote threshold—with Senate leadership blocking floor action ahead of the 2026 elections. Moraes has remained active in high-profile rulings through mid-2026, including decisions on sentencing laws and related investigations, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year. These institutional barriers and the absence of decisive legislative momentum underpin the strong trader consensus against his departure from the bench.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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