Marcos Rogério (PL) holds a commanding position in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to repeated polling leads ahead of the October 4 first round, with support often ranging from 24% to 40% compared to Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28% and lower shares for Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and others. The state’s conservative electorate and Rogério’s alliances within right-leaning coalitions have reinforced his frontrunner status in multiple surveys through late August. Official candidate registrations and ongoing campaign events, including regional meetings and security-focused proposals from rivals, have not materially narrowed the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns, with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcos Rogério 86%
Adailton Furia 9.0%
Hildon Chaves 2.9%
Expedito Netto 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
86%
Adailton Furia
9%
Hildon Chaves
3%
Expedito Netto
2%
Pedro Abib
1%
Samuel Costa
<1%
Marcos Rogério 86%
Adailton Furia 9.0%
Hildon Chaves 2.9%
Expedito Netto 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
$4,914 Vol.
86%
Adailton Furia
$1,328 Vol.
9%
Hildon Chaves
$779 Vol.
3%
Expedito Netto
$772 Vol.
2%
Pedro Abib
$926 Vol.
1%
Samuel Costa
$436 Vol.
<1%
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) holds a commanding position in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to repeated polling leads ahead of the October 4 first round, with support often ranging from 24% to 40% compared to Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28% and lower shares for Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and others. The state’s conservative electorate and Rogério’s alliances within right-leaning coalitions have reinforced his frontrunner status in multiple surveys through late August. Official candidate registrations and ongoing campaign events, including regional meetings and security-focused proposals from rivals, have not materially narrowed the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns, with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before voting concludes.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$9,156End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) holds a commanding position in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to repeated polling leads ahead of the October 4 first round, with support often ranging from 24% to 40% compared to Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28% and lower shares for Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and others. The state’s conservative electorate and Rogério’s alliances within right-leaning coalitions have reinforced his frontrunner status in multiple surveys through late August. Official candidate registrations and ongoing campaign events, including regional meetings and security-focused proposals from rivals, have not materially narrowed the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns, with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before voting concludes.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,156End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcos Rogério (PL) holds a commanding position in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to repeated polling leads ahead of the October 4 first round, with support often ranging from 24% to 40% compared to Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28% and lower shares for Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and others. The state’s conservative electorate and Rogério’s alliances within right-leaning coalitions have reinforced his frontrunner status in multiple surveys through late August. Official candidate registrations and ongoing campaign events, including regional meetings and security-focused proposals from rivals, have not materially narrowed the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns, with limited shifts expected absent major late developments before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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