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icon for Piauí Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

icon for Piauí Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Rafael Fonteles 99.0%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Gustavo Feijó <1%

Polymarket

$46,127 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles 99.0%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Gustavo Feijó <1%

Polymarket

$46,127 Vol.

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$38,255 Vol.

99%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$852 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent polling dominance and high approval ratings near 62-67%. Multiple surveys through August 2026, including from AtlasIntel and GP1, place him at 56-73% of valid votes, far ahead of main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 20-25%, with all other listed candidates below 2%. Fonteles formalized his candidacy in July with a broad coalition including PT allies and secured strong backing from state mayors. His administration's record on education expansions and other priorities has reinforced trader consensus around a likely first-round victory on October 4. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,127
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent polling dominance and high approval ratings near 62-67%. Multiple surveys through August 2026, including from AtlasIntel and GP1, place him at 56-73% of valid votes, far ahead of main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 20-25%, with all other listed candidates below 2%. Fonteles formalized his candidacy in July with a broad coalition including PT allies and secured strong backing from state mayors. His administration's record on education expansions and other priorities has reinforced trader consensus around a likely first-round victory on October 4. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,127
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Piauí Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rafael Fonteles" at 99%, followed by "Elizeu Aguiar" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Piauí Governor Election Winner" has generated $46.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Piauí Governor Election Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" is "Rafael Fonteles" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elizeu Aguiar" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.