Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor of Pará, holds the top position in trader pricing amid a competitive 2026 race, while Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos trails closely behind. Recent polls from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios, with Ghassan at 24-31% and Santos at 20-29%, reflecting high undecided shares and technical ties that keep the outcome uncertain. Santos's prior leads in mid-2026 surveys have narrowed as Ghassan benefits from state resources and MDB organizational strength in the North Region. Minor candidates including Dirceu Ten Caten and others register negligible support, limiting fragmentation risks. Key upcoming factors include further polling releases, candidate formalizations, and regional campaign dynamics in swing areas like Belém and Carajás that could widen or close the gap before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Hana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Paulo Rocha 2.1%
Éder Mauro 1.1%
$27,360 Vol.
$27,360 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
41%
Paulo Rocha
2%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Hana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Paulo Rocha 2.1%
Éder Mauro 1.1%
$27,360 Vol.
$27,360 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$11,810 Vol.
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$8,576 Vol.
41%
Paulo Rocha
$1,078 Vol.
2%
Éder Mauro
$3,216 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$923 Vol.
1%
Rogério Barra
$909 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$848 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor of Pará, holds the top position in trader pricing amid a competitive 2026 race, while Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos trails closely behind. Recent polls from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios, with Ghassan at 24-31% and Santos at 20-29%, reflecting high undecided shares and technical ties that keep the outcome uncertain. Santos's prior leads in mid-2026 surveys have narrowed as Ghassan benefits from state resources and MDB organizational strength in the North Region. Minor candidates including Dirceu Ten Caten and others register negligible support, limiting fragmentation risks. Key upcoming factors include further polling releases, candidate formalizations, and regional campaign dynamics in swing areas like Belém and Carajás that could widen or close the gap before October voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$27,360End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor of Pará, holds the top position in trader pricing amid a competitive 2026 race, while Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos trails closely behind. Recent polls from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios, with Ghassan at 24-31% and Santos at 20-29%, reflecting high undecided shares and technical ties that keep the outcome uncertain. Santos's prior leads in mid-2026 surveys have narrowed as Ghassan benefits from state resources and MDB organizational strength in the North Region. Minor candidates including Dirceu Ten Caten and others register negligible support, limiting fragmentation risks. Key upcoming factors include further polling releases, candidate formalizations, and regional campaign dynamics in swing areas like Belém and Carajás that could widen or close the gap before October voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,360End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor of Pará, holds the top position in trader pricing amid a competitive 2026 race, while Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos trails closely behind. Recent polls from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios, with Ghassan at 24-31% and Santos at 20-29%, reflecting high undecided shares and technical ties that keep the outcome uncertain. Santos's prior leads in mid-2026 surveys have narrowed as Ghassan benefits from state resources and MDB organizational strength in the North Region. Minor candidates including Dirceu Ten Caten and others register negligible support, limiting fragmentation risks. Key upcoming factors include further polling releases, candidate formalizations, and regional campaign dynamics in swing areas like Belém and Carajás that could widen or close the gap before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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