Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei on August 30 most likely between 26–27 °C under humid subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small differences in overnight radiative cooling—driven by cloud thickness, wind speed near the surface, and the precise timing of any showers—can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Persistent high humidity and urban heat retention limit further cooling, while stronger winds or clearer skies could allow slightly lower readings; conversely, widespread cloudiness or delayed rain would keep temperatures elevated. Updated model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
31°C or higher 60%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
12%
23°C
21%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
60%
31°C or higher 60%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
12%
23°C
21%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei on August 30 most likely between 26–27 °C under humid subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small differences in overnight radiative cooling—driven by cloud thickness, wind speed near the surface, and the precise timing of any showers—can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Persistent high humidity and urban heat retention limit further cooling, while stronger winds or clearer skies could allow slightly lower readings; conversely, widespread cloudiness or delayed rain would keep temperatures elevated. Updated model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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