Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds overnight into August 30, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Minimum temperatures are projected in the 20–22°C range by early morning, consistent with late-August climatology but elevated by above-average warmth and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters around 17–18°C and 24°C+ outcomes due to minor model differences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus any last-minute observational updates, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
24°C or higher 55%
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
1%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
55%
24°C or higher 55%
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds overnight into August 30, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Minimum temperatures are projected in the 20–22°C range by early morning, consistent with late-August climatology but elevated by above-average warmth and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters around 17–18°C and 24°C+ outcomes due to minor model differences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus any last-minute observational updates, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds overnight into August 30, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Minimum temperatures are projected in the 20–22°C range by early morning, consistent with late-August climatology but elevated by above-average warmth and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters around 17–18°C and 24°C+ outcomes due to minor model differences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus any last-minute observational updates, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds overnight into August 30, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Minimum temperatures are projected in the 20–22°C range by early morning, consistent with late-August climatology but elevated by above-average warmth and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters around 17–18°C and 24°C+ outcomes due to minor model differences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus any last-minute observational updates, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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