**Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from stations including Warsaw Chopin Airport and IMGW monitoring show afternoon peaks reaching exactly this level amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 16–18°C before declining in the evening. This aligns with real-time surface measurements rather than model forecasts, which had projected similar or slightly lower maxima around 21–24°C. The strong trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data, with resolution likely tied to official daily summaries. Only an unreported station anomaly or post hoc data revision could alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given multiple consistent reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,038 Vol.
$37,038 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,038 Vol.
$37,038 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$244 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,668 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,935 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,850 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,410 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,000 Vol.
100%
24°C
$1,868 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,407 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from stations including Warsaw Chopin Airport and IMGW monitoring show afternoon peaks reaching exactly this level amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 16–18°C before declining in the evening. This aligns with real-time surface measurements rather than model forecasts, which had projected similar or slightly lower maxima around 21–24°C. The strong trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data, with resolution likely tied to official daily summaries. Only an unreported station anomaly or post hoc data revision could alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given multiple consistent reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$37,038End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from stations including Warsaw Chopin Airport and IMGW monitoring show afternoon peaks reaching exactly this level amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 16–18°C before declining in the evening. This aligns with real-time surface measurements rather than model forecasts, which had projected similar or slightly lower maxima around 21–24°C. The strong trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data, with resolution likely tied to official daily summaries. Only an unreported station anomaly or post hoc data revision could alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given multiple consistent reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,038End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from stations including Warsaw Chopin Airport and IMGW monitoring show afternoon peaks reaching exactly this level amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 16–18°C before declining in the evening. This aligns with real-time surface measurements rather than model forecasts, which had projected similar or slightly lower maxima around 21–24°C. The strong trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data, with resolution likely tied to official daily summaries. Only an unreported station anomaly or post hoc data revision could alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given multiple consistent reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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