**Trader consensus has locked onto 16°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, driven by consistent outputs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models aligned with South African Weather Service guidance.** Late-winter conditions featuring persistent southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited insolation have capped daytime warming near this threshold, matching climatological norms for late August where averages hover around 15–17°C. Multiple forecast runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles show peak readings clustered at 15–16°C during afternoon hours, with current observations confirming values have not exceeded this level. A sudden clearing of marine layer clouds or anomalous warm advection could theoretically push readings higher, but such shifts are considered low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and proximity to day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,769 Vol.
$30,769 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,769 Vol.
$30,769 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,452 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,181 Vol.
100%
17°C
$3,624 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,257 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,381 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,902 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 16°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, driven by consistent outputs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models aligned with South African Weather Service guidance.** Late-winter conditions featuring persistent southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited insolation have capped daytime warming near this threshold, matching climatological norms for late August where averages hover around 15–17°C. Multiple forecast runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles show peak readings clustered at 15–16°C during afternoon hours, with current observations confirming values have not exceeded this level. A sudden clearing of marine layer clouds or anomalous warm advection could theoretically push readings higher, but such shifts are considered low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,769End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 16°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, driven by consistent outputs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models aligned with South African Weather Service guidance.** Late-winter conditions featuring persistent southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited insolation have capped daytime warming near this threshold, matching climatological norms for late August where averages hover around 15–17°C. Multiple forecast runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles show peak readings clustered at 15–16°C during afternoon hours, with current observations confirming values have not exceeded this level. A sudden clearing of marine layer clouds or anomalous warm advection could theoretically push readings higher, but such shifts are considered low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,769End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto 16°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, driven by consistent outputs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models aligned with South African Weather Service guidance.** Late-winter conditions featuring persistent southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited insolation have capped daytime warming near this threshold, matching climatological norms for late August where averages hover around 15–17°C. Multiple forecast runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles show peak readings clustered at 15–16°C during afternoon hours, with current observations confirming values have not exceeded this level. A sudden clearing of marine layer clouds or anomalous warm advection could theoretically push readings higher, but such shifts are considered low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and proximity to day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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