Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS project a minimum temperature near 19°C overnight into early morning on August 29, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and stable high pressure maintaining typical late-summer radiative cooling across the Po Valley. Current observations from Milan Linate show temperatures already approaching this threshold by dawn with dew points around 18–19°C and humidity near 80–90%, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 18–21°C lows for late August. Trader consensus at 84.5% for 19°C reflects this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below account for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings marginally higher. Updated model runs expected within the next 12 hours will confirm resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
19°C 54%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
$1,263 Vol.
$1,263 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
54%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
$1,263 Vol.
$1,263 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$103 Vol.
1%
17°C
$109 Vol.
2%
18°C
$138 Vol.
7%
19°C
$243 Vol.
54%
20°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS project a minimum temperature near 19°C overnight into early morning on August 29, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and stable high pressure maintaining typical late-summer radiative cooling across the Po Valley. Current observations from Milan Linate show temperatures already approaching this threshold by dawn with dew points around 18–19°C and humidity near 80–90%, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 18–21°C lows for late August. Trader consensus at 84.5% for 19°C reflects this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below account for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings marginally higher. Updated model runs expected within the next 12 hours will confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,263End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS project a minimum temperature near 19°C overnight into early morning on August 29, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and stable high pressure maintaining typical late-summer radiative cooling across the Po Valley. Current observations from Milan Linate show temperatures already approaching this threshold by dawn with dew points around 18–19°C and humidity near 80–90%, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 18–21°C lows for late August. Trader consensus at 84.5% for 19°C reflects this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below account for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings marginally higher. Updated model runs expected within the next 12 hours will confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,263End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS project a minimum temperature near 19°C overnight into early morning on August 29, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and stable high pressure maintaining typical late-summer radiative cooling across the Po Valley. Current observations from Milan Linate show temperatures already approaching this threshold by dawn with dew points around 18–19°C and humidity near 80–90%, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 18–21°C lows for late August. Trader consensus at 84.5% for 19°C reflects this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below account for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings marginally higher. Updated model runs expected within the next 12 hours will confirm resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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