**Forecast models from sources including GFS and IMGW indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a building high-pressure ridge (wyż) that favors clearer to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow of warmer air.** Low precipitation chances (mostly under 10–20%) and moderate humidity support daytime warming, with afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Multiple recent runs converge on this range: one projects a 79°F (≈26°C) high with partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds around 8–10 mph, while others list 26–27°C maxima with minimal rain. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover near 25°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than extreme heat advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (33%) and 27°C (49.5%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 54%
26°C 32%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
54%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 32%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$496 Vol.
7%
26°C
$911 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1,387 Vol.
54%
28°C
$654 Vol.
9%
29°C
$438 Vol.
4%
30°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and IMGW indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a building high-pressure ridge (wyż) that favors clearer to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow of warmer air.** Low precipitation chances (mostly under 10–20%) and moderate humidity support daytime warming, with afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight.
Multiple recent runs converge on this range: one projects a 79°F (≈26°C) high with partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds around 8–10 mph, while others list 26–27°C maxima with minimal rain. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover near 25°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than extreme heat advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (33%) and 27°C (49.5%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,560End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and IMGW indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a building high-pressure ridge (wyż) that favors clearer to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow of warmer air.** Low precipitation chances (mostly under 10–20%) and moderate humidity support daytime warming, with afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight.
Multiple recent runs converge on this range: one projects a 79°F (≈26°C) high with partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds around 8–10 mph, while others list 26–27°C maxima with minimal rain. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover near 25°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than extreme heat advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (33%) and 27°C (49.5%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,560End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and IMGW indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under a building high-pressure ridge (wyż) that favors clearer to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow of warmer air.** Low precipitation chances (mostly under 10–20%) and moderate humidity support daytime warming, with afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Multiple recent runs converge on this range: one projects a 79°F (≈26°C) high with partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds around 8–10 mph, while others list 26–27°C maxima with minimal rain. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover near 25°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than extreme heat advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (33%) and 27°C (49.5%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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