Forecasts from multiple models place Sao Paulo’s peak temperature on August 30 near 31–33 °C, consistent with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and northwesterly flow are advecting warmer continental air while diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies supports modest afternoon maxima. Light winds and low humidity limit convective cooling, yet small differences in cloud timing or weak sea-breeze influence can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C highlight the current positive anomaly, but the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps probabilities distributed across the narrow 30–34 °C window ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
32°C 28%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
28%
33°C
15%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$773 Vol.
4%
29°C
$647 Vol.
6%
30°C
$697 Vol.
12%
31°C
$367 Vol.
25%
32°C
$1,610 Vol.
28%
33°C
$984 Vol.
15%
34°C
$553 Vol.
8%
35°C
$106 Vol.
3%
36°C
$72 Vol.
1%
37°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Sao Paulo’s peak temperature on August 30 near 31–33 °C, consistent with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and northwesterly flow are advecting warmer continental air while diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies supports modest afternoon maxima. Light winds and low humidity limit convective cooling, yet small differences in cloud timing or weak sea-breeze influence can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C highlight the current positive anomaly, but the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps probabilities distributed across the narrow 30–34 °C window ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,302End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Sao Paulo’s peak temperature on August 30 near 31–33 °C, consistent with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and northwesterly flow are advecting warmer continental air while diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies supports modest afternoon maxima. Light winds and low humidity limit convective cooling, yet small differences in cloud timing or weak sea-breeze influence can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C highlight the current positive anomaly, but the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps probabilities distributed across the narrow 30–34 °C window ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,302End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models place Sao Paulo’s peak temperature on August 30 near 31–33 °C, consistent with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and northwesterly flow are advecting warmer continental air while diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies supports modest afternoon maxima. Light winds and low humidity limit convective cooling, yet small differences in cloud timing or weak sea-breeze influence can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C highlight the current positive anomaly, but the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps probabilities distributed across the narrow 30–34 °C window ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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