Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by mild easterly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime warming without strong frontal activity. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach approximately 17–18°C but can exceed 20°C under stable, subsiding air. Recent observations show temperatures climbing steadily from overnight lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the central range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 21°C captures this narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 22°C or higher account for possible model divergence or slight underestimation of insolation as the day approaches resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
53%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$248 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$236 Vol.
1%
17°C
$150 Vol.
1%
18°C
$214 Vol.
2%
19°C
$448 Vol.
7%
20°C
$714 Vol.
23%
21°C
$1,978 Vol.
53%
22°C
$1,266 Vol.
14%
23°C or higher
$959 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by mild easterly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime warming without strong frontal activity. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach approximately 17–18°C but can exceed 20°C under stable, subsiding air. Recent observations show temperatures climbing steadily from overnight lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the central range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 21°C captures this narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 22°C or higher account for possible model divergence or slight underestimation of insolation as the day approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,687End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by mild easterly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime warming without strong frontal activity. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach approximately 17–18°C but can exceed 20°C under stable, subsiding air. Recent observations show temperatures climbing steadily from overnight lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the central range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 21°C captures this narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 22°C or higher account for possible model divergence or slight underestimation of insolation as the day approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,687End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30, driven by mild easterly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime warming without strong frontal activity. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where average August highs reach approximately 17–18°C but can exceed 20°C under stable, subsiding air. Recent observations show temperatures climbing steadily from overnight lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the central range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 21°C captures this narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 22°C or higher account for possible model divergence or slight underestimation of insolation as the day approaches resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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