Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daytime high of 29–30 °C for Beijing on August 31, driven by northeast winds and mostly sunny skies following a cooler period. This places the outcome near the long-term average high of 29 °C for the date while recent model runs show modest cooling relative to the hotter conditions expected on August 30. Forecast uncertainty stems from small differences in timing of any afternoon mixing or wind shifts, which can alter the precise peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread among the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$299 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1 Vol.
6%
28°C
$40 Vol.
10%
29°C
$127 Vol.
24%
30°C
$73 Vol.
30%
31°C
$14 Vol.
25%
32°C
$52 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daytime high of 29–30 °C for Beijing on August 31, driven by northeast winds and mostly sunny skies following a cooler period. This places the outcome near the long-term average high of 29 °C for the date while recent model runs show modest cooling relative to the hotter conditions expected on August 30. Forecast uncertainty stems from small differences in timing of any afternoon mixing or wind shifts, which can alter the precise peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread among the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$606End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daytime high of 29–30 °C for Beijing on August 31, driven by northeast winds and mostly sunny skies following a cooler period. This places the outcome near the long-term average high of 29 °C for the date while recent model runs show modest cooling relative to the hotter conditions expected on August 30. Forecast uncertainty stems from small differences in timing of any afternoon mixing or wind shifts, which can alter the precise peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread among the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$606End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daytime high of 29–30 °C for Beijing on August 31, driven by northeast winds and mostly sunny skies following a cooler period. This places the outcome near the long-term average high of 29 °C for the date while recent model runs show modest cooling relative to the hotter conditions expected on August 30. Forecast uncertainty stems from small differences in timing of any afternoon mixing or wind shifts, which can alter the precise peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread among the 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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