Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 3 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing an overnight minimum settling near that level. Persistent light rain, high humidity near 80-90%, and northeasterly winds have moderated radiative cooling under overcast skies, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima often range 24-28°C amid monsoon influences. A sudden clearing of clouds could allow additional cooling to 26°C or below before official station readings finalize, while continued precipitation and cloud cover would reinforce the current positioning. Market resolution depends on the final verified minimum from authoritative meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$673 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$702 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,934 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,280 Vol.
93%
28°C
$986 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 3 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing an overnight minimum settling near that level. Persistent light rain, high humidity near 80-90%, and northeasterly winds have moderated radiative cooling under overcast skies, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima often range 24-28°C amid monsoon influences. A sudden clearing of clouds could allow additional cooling to 26°C or below before official station readings finalize, while continued precipitation and cloud cover would reinforce the current positioning. Market resolution depends on the final verified minimum from authoritative meteorological data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,143End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 3 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing an overnight minimum settling near that level. Persistent light rain, high humidity near 80-90%, and northeasterly winds have moderated radiative cooling under overcast skies, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima often range 24-28°C amid monsoon influences. A sudden clearing of clouds could allow additional cooling to 26°C or below before official station readings finalize, while continued precipitation and cloud cover would reinforce the current positioning. Market resolution depends on the final verified minimum from authoritative meteorological data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,143End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 3 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing an overnight minimum settling near that level. Persistent light rain, high humidity near 80-90%, and northeasterly winds have moderated radiative cooling under overcast skies, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima often range 24-28°C amid monsoon influences. A sudden clearing of clouds could allow additional cooling to 26°C or below before official station readings finalize, while continued precipitation and cloud cover would reinforce the current positioning. Market resolution depends on the final verified minimum from authoritative meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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