Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, cluster around highs of 27–31°C under persistent clear skies and light northeast winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30–32°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of ~26°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and consistent onshore flow limit extremes. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in model timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds rather than major synoptic shifts. No active tropical systems or significant precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
18%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$15 Vol.
28%
32°C
$2 Vol.
25%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, cluster around highs of 27–31°C under persistent clear skies and light northeast winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30–32°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of ~26°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and consistent onshore flow limit extremes. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in model timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds rather than major synoptic shifts. No active tropical systems or significant precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$17End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, cluster around highs of 27–31°C under persistent clear skies and light northeast winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30–32°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of ~26°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and consistent onshore flow limit extremes. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in model timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds rather than major synoptic shifts. No active tropical systems or significant precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, cluster around highs of 27–31°C under persistent clear skies and light northeast winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30–32°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of ~26°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and consistent onshore flow limit extremes. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in model timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds rather than major synoptic shifts. No active tropical systems or significant precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions