**Official forecasts and numerical models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 32°C in Manila today amid the southwest monsoon regime.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap heating despite typical September insolation, aligning with the 31°C seasonal average high. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of either stronger convective cooling or clearer skies pushing readings to 33°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Manila observing stations; any late-day clearing or localized heat pockets remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 3?
32°C 97%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$33,811 Vol.
$33,811 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
97%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 97%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$33,811 Vol.
$33,811 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,196 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,935 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,236 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,318 Vol.
97%
33°C
$3,603 Vol.
3%
34°C
$9,456 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and numerical models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 32°C in Manila today amid the southwest monsoon regime.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap heating despite typical September insolation, aligning with the 31°C seasonal average high. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of either stronger convective cooling or clearer skies pushing readings to 33°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Manila observing stations; any late-day clearing or localized heat pockets remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$33,811End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and numerical models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 32°C in Manila today amid the southwest monsoon regime.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap heating despite typical September insolation, aligning with the 31°C seasonal average high. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of either stronger convective cooling or clearer skies pushing readings to 33°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Manila observing stations; any late-day clearing or localized heat pockets remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,811End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts and numerical models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 32°C in Manila today amid the southwest monsoon regime.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap heating despite typical September insolation, aligning with the 31°C seasonal average high. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of either stronger convective cooling or clearer skies pushing readings to 33°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Manila observing stations; any late-day clearing or localized heat pockets remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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