**Forecast models and real-time observations from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services show Shenzhen's September 3 high likely peaking near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote mixing.** Afternoon readings have approached but not clearly surpassed 30–31°C amid humidity near 70% and dew points supporting modest instability. September climatology for the region typically features highs around 31°C, yet today's steering patterns and cloud cover align with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C. Traders weigh official station data and model consensus, with limited upside risk given the day's thermodynamic profile and no strong warming signal. Updated observations through evening will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
30°C 79%
31°C 19%
32°C 2%
33°C or higher <1%
$31,481 Vol.
$31,481 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
79%
31°C
19%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 79%
31°C 19%
32°C 2%
33°C or higher <1%
$31,481 Vol.
$31,481 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$878 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,736 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$993 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,987 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,069 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,828 Vol.
79%
31°C
$3,744 Vol.
19%
32°C
$4,663 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$2,177 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services show Shenzhen's September 3 high likely peaking near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote mixing.** Afternoon readings have approached but not clearly surpassed 30–31°C amid humidity near 70% and dew points supporting modest instability. September climatology for the region typically features highs around 31°C, yet today's steering patterns and cloud cover align with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C. Traders weigh official station data and model consensus, with limited upside risk given the day's thermodynamic profile and no strong warming signal. Updated observations through evening will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,481End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services show Shenzhen's September 3 high likely peaking near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote mixing.** Afternoon readings have approached but not clearly surpassed 30–31°C amid humidity near 70% and dew points supporting modest instability. September climatology for the region typically features highs around 31°C, yet today's steering patterns and cloud cover align with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C. Traders weigh official station data and model consensus, with limited upside risk given the day's thermodynamic profile and no strong warming signal. Updated observations through evening will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,481End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services show Shenzhen's September 3 high likely peaking near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote mixing.** Afternoon readings have approached but not clearly surpassed 30–31°C amid humidity near 70% and dew points supporting modest instability. September climatology for the region typically features highs around 31°C, yet today's steering patterns and cloud cover align with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for exactly 30°C. Traders weigh official station data and model consensus, with limited upside risk given the day's thermodynamic profile and no strong warming signal. Updated observations through evening will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions