Traders have converged on a 68-69°F high for Seattle on September 2 because official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a peak temperature in that narrow range amid a strong early-September cold front. Persistent cloud cover, gusty southerly winds, and widespread showers kept daytime maxima well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 73.9°F, with preliminary National Weather Service data showing readings clustered near 67°F before final quality control adjustments. This outcome aligns with the broader cooldown pattern across western Washington, where model consensus correctly anticipated limited solar heating and marine influence. The positioning could shift only if post-event data revisions or alternate station measurements place the official high outside the 68-69°F bin, though such changes remain rare for surface temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 2?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 2?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$72,197 Vol.
$72,197 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$72,197 Vol.
$72,197 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
55°F or below
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,146 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$5,602 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$6,852 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$10,027 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$10,425 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$10,253 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$16,677 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,801 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 68-69°F high for Seattle on September 2 because official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a peak temperature in that narrow range amid a strong early-September cold front. Persistent cloud cover, gusty southerly winds, and widespread showers kept daytime maxima well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 73.9°F, with preliminary National Weather Service data showing readings clustered near 67°F before final quality control adjustments. This outcome aligns with the broader cooldown pattern across western Washington, where model consensus correctly anticipated limited solar heating and marine influence. The positioning could shift only if post-event data revisions or alternate station measurements place the official high outside the 68-69°F bin, though such changes remain rare for surface temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$72,197End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 68-69°F high for Seattle on September 2 because official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a peak temperature in that narrow range amid a strong early-September cold front. Persistent cloud cover, gusty southerly winds, and widespread showers kept daytime maxima well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 73.9°F, with preliminary National Weather Service data showing readings clustered near 67°F before final quality control adjustments. This outcome aligns with the broader cooldown pattern across western Washington, where model consensus correctly anticipated limited solar heating and marine influence. The positioning could shift only if post-event data revisions or alternate station measurements place the official high outside the 68-69°F bin, though such changes remain rare for surface temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72,197End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 68-69°F high for Seattle on September 2 because official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a peak temperature in that narrow range amid a strong early-September cold front. Persistent cloud cover, gusty southerly winds, and widespread showers kept daytime maxima well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 73.9°F, with preliminary National Weather Service data showing readings clustered near 67°F before final quality control adjustments. This outcome aligns with the broader cooldown pattern across western Washington, where model consensus correctly anticipated limited solar heating and marine influence. The positioning could shift only if post-event data revisions or alternate station measurements place the official high outside the 68-69°F bin, though such changes remain rare for surface temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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