Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the daily minimum temperature in New York City on September 3 will occur during the early morning hours amid a persistent warm, humid air mass, with overnight lows projected in the lower 70s and some guidance centering near 69–73 °F. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 67 °F have limited radiational cooling, keeping readings well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65.3 °F for the date. Current observations from Central Park and nearby stations show early-morning temperatures holding around 69–70 °F, aligning with model consensus and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward the 66–69 °F bin. No significant frontal passage or drier air is expected before sunrise, so the minimum is unlikely to drop into the mid-60s or lower without an unforecast shift in steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
68-69°F 77%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 2%
63°F or below <1%
NEW
$41,845 Vol.
NEW
$41,845 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
77%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 77%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 2%
63°F or below <1%
NEW
$41,845 Vol.
NEW
$41,845 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$925 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$592 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$772 Vol.
77%
70-71°F
$36,456 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$700 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$686 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$212 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the daily minimum temperature in New York City on September 3 will occur during the early morning hours amid a persistent warm, humid air mass, with overnight lows projected in the lower 70s and some guidance centering near 69–73 °F. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 67 °F have limited radiational cooling, keeping readings well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65.3 °F for the date. Current observations from Central Park and nearby stations show early-morning temperatures holding around 69–70 °F, aligning with model consensus and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward the 66–69 °F bin. No significant frontal passage or drier air is expected before sunrise, so the minimum is unlikely to drop into the mid-60s or lower without an unforecast shift in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$41,845End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the daily minimum temperature in New York City on September 3 will occur during the early morning hours amid a persistent warm, humid air mass, with overnight lows projected in the lower 70s and some guidance centering near 69–73 °F. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 67 °F have limited radiational cooling, keeping readings well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65.3 °F for the date. Current observations from Central Park and nearby stations show early-morning temperatures holding around 69–70 °F, aligning with model consensus and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward the 66–69 °F bin. No significant frontal passage or drier air is expected before sunrise, so the minimum is unlikely to drop into the mid-60s or lower without an unforecast shift in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,845End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the daily minimum temperature in New York City on September 3 will occur during the early morning hours amid a persistent warm, humid air mass, with overnight lows projected in the lower 70s and some guidance centering near 69–73 °F. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 67 °F have limited radiational cooling, keeping readings well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65.3 °F for the date. Current observations from Central Park and nearby stations show early-morning temperatures holding around 69–70 °F, aligning with model consensus and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward the 66–69 °F bin. No significant frontal passage or drier air is expected before sunrise, so the minimum is unlikely to drop into the mid-60s or lower without an unforecast shift in steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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