Recent forecasts from Météo-France partners and numerical models converge on a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover restricts surface heating while mild Atlantic air maintains moderate humidity and dew points near 16°C, keeping thermal energy limited. Model consensus places the peak in the late afternoon, with minor differences arising from exact cloud thickness and wind timing. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as official station observations will resolve the market between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 3?
26°C 43%
27°C 43%
25°C or below 11%
28°C 8%
$39,655 Vol.
$39,655 Vol.
25°C or below
11%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
27°C 43%
25°C or below 11%
28°C 8%
$39,655 Vol.
$39,655 Vol.
25°C or below
11%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France partners and numerical models converge on a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover restricts surface heating while mild Atlantic air maintains moderate humidity and dew points near 16°C, keeping thermal energy limited. Model consensus places the peak in the late afternoon, with minor differences arising from exact cloud thickness and wind timing. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as official station observations will resolve the market between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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