**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 31°C in Busan on September 3, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time forecasts from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, which indicate a peak near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 mph, and high humidity around 70–80%. These conditions limit extreme heating but support temperatures consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Official observations and short-range model runs show little deviation expected through the afternoon peak. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in wind patterns that enhances cooling—developments that current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 3?
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$30,327 Vol.
$30,327 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$30,327 Vol.
$30,327 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,946 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,016 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,921 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,693 Vol.
100%
32°C
$3,579 Vol.
1%
33°C
$3,594 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 31°C in Busan on September 3, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time forecasts from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, which indicate a peak near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 mph, and high humidity around 70–80%. These conditions limit extreme heating but support temperatures consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Official observations and short-range model runs show little deviation expected through the afternoon peak. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in wind patterns that enhances cooling—developments that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,327End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 31°C in Busan on September 3, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time forecasts from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, which indicate a peak near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 mph, and high humidity around 70–80%. These conditions limit extreme heating but support temperatures consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Official observations and short-range model runs show little deviation expected through the afternoon peak. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in wind patterns that enhances cooling—developments that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,327End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 31°C in Busan on September 3, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time forecasts from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, which indicate a peak near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 mph, and high humidity around 70–80%. These conditions limit extreme heating but support temperatures consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Official observations and short-range model runs show little deviation expected through the afternoon peak. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in wind patterns that enhances cooling—developments that current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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