**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 3, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high around 30–31°C (86–89°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible and northeasterly winds around 13–22 km/h. These conditions limit intense solar heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–85%. Recent observations show afternoon readings climbing to 30°C but not exceeding that threshold amid persistent cloud cover. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clearing that allows stronger insolation or altered steering patterns, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
31°C 95%
32°C 7%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$64,865 Vol.
$64,865 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
95%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 95%
32°C 7%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$64,865 Vol.
$64,865 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$4,609 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,270 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,417 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,855 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,014 Vol.
95%
32°C
$7,329 Vol.
7%
33°C
$4,263 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,814 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 3, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high around 30–31°C (86–89°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible and northeasterly winds around 13–22 km/h. These conditions limit intense solar heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–85%. Recent observations show afternoon readings climbing to 30°C but not exceeding that threshold amid persistent cloud cover. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clearing that allows stronger insolation or altered steering patterns, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$64,865End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 3, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high around 30–31°C (86–89°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible and northeasterly winds around 13–22 km/h. These conditions limit intense solar heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–85%. Recent observations show afternoon readings climbing to 30°C but not exceeding that threshold amid persistent cloud cover. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clearing that allows stronger insolation or altered steering patterns, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,865End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 3, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high around 30–31°C (86–89°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible and northeasterly winds around 13–22 km/h. These conditions limit intense solar heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–85%. Recent observations show afternoon readings climbing to 30°C but not exceeding that threshold amid persistent cloud cover. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clearing that allows stronger insolation or altered steering patterns, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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