**Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the 52–57°F range, with the top three bins (52–53°F at 44%, 54–55°F at 35%, 56–57°F at 27.5%) reflecting tight uncertainty in official National Weather Service guidance.** National Weather Service zone forecasts and supporting model consensus point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northerly, and lingering marine influence from recent showers. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology near Seattle-Tacoma, where average daily minima hover around 55–56°F amid moderating Pacific air. Differentiating factors include exact timing and extent of cloud cover (which limits radiational cooling), dew-point depression, and any subtle steering from upper-level flow that could allow a brief marine push or clearer break. Recent days have featured variable marine layers and light precipitation that cooled surface conditions slightly, tilting some models toward the lower-50s end while others hold near 55–56°F. With resolution imminent, traders are weighing these narrow forecast spreads rather than any single catalyst event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 28%
64°F or higher 15%
45°F or below
12%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
36%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
14%
64°F or higher
15%
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 28%
64°F or higher 15%
45°F or below
12%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
36%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
14%
64°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 30 minimum temperature centers on the 52–57°F range, with the top three bins (52–53°F at 44%, 54–55°F at 35%, 56–57°F at 27.5%) reflecting tight uncertainty in official National Weather Service guidance.** National Weather Service zone forecasts and supporting model consensus point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northerly, and lingering marine influence from recent showers. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology near Seattle-Tacoma, where average daily minima hover around 55–56°F amid moderating Pacific air. Differentiating factors include exact timing and extent of cloud cover (which limits radiational cooling), dew-point depression, and any subtle steering from upper-level flow that could allow a brief marine push or clearer break. Recent days have featured variable marine layers and light precipitation that cooled surface conditions slightly, tilting some models toward the lower-50s end while others hold near 55–56°F. With resolution imminent, traders are weighing these narrow forecast spreads rather than any single catalyst event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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