**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 29 show an overnight low near 25–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds.** In the rainy season, persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, preventing sharper temperature drops typical of drier periods. Official model guidance and station observations point to a minimum around 25°C, with scattered thunderstorms and northwest winds sustaining moisture that keeps the air mass warm. Minor variations in exact cloud timing or localized rainfall could shift the recorded low by 1°C, creating the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or drier air allowing further cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 29?
21°C 96%
22°C 95%
20°C 83%
25°C 50%
$630 Vol.
$630 Vol.
19°C or below
41%
20°C
83%
21°C
96%
22°C
95%
23°C
5%
24°C
46%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
21°C 96%
22°C 95%
20°C 83%
25°C 50%
$630 Vol.
$630 Vol.
19°C or below
41%
20°C
83%
21°C
96%
22°C
95%
23°C
5%
24°C
46%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 29 show an overnight low near 25–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds.** In the rainy season, persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, preventing sharper temperature drops typical of drier periods. Official model guidance and station observations point to a minimum around 25°C, with scattered thunderstorms and northwest winds sustaining moisture that keeps the air mass warm. Minor variations in exact cloud timing or localized rainfall could shift the recorded low by 1°C, creating the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or drier air allowing further cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions