Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on August 31 amid active monsoon conditions, with generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 90%. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit nighttime radiative cooling, while recent above-normal rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26–27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes due to model uncertainties in exact rainfall timing, wind shifts, and localized convective cooling that can produce 1–2°C variations. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and soil moisture favor slightly warmer nights unless heavy overnight showers enhance cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
26°C 50%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 44%
32°C or higher 42%
22°C or below
44%
23°C
7%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
42%
26°C 50%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 44%
32°C or higher 42%
22°C or below
44%
23°C
7%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on August 31 amid active monsoon conditions, with generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 90%. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit nighttime radiative cooling, while recent above-normal rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26–27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes due to model uncertainties in exact rainfall timing, wind shifts, and localized convective cooling that can produce 1–2°C variations. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and soil moisture favor slightly warmer nights unless heavy overnight showers enhance cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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