**IMD forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 33°C for Lucknow on August 30 under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, driven by an active monsoon low-pressure system over the northwest Bay of Bengal.** Recent observations show Lucknow-Airport highs of 33.5–33.8°C on August 29, near or slightly above normal, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation have moderated daytime heating across Uttar Pradesh. This setup supports the market’s leading 58% implied probability for 33°C or higher, with the 32°C outcome at 32.5% reflecting uncertainty from variable rainfall intensity. Official IMD guidance, which includes no warnings for extreme heat, anchors trader sentiment ahead of the day’s verified maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
33°C or higher 56%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
30°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
56%
33°C or higher 56%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
30°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**IMD forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 33°C for Lucknow on August 30 under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, driven by an active monsoon low-pressure system over the northwest Bay of Bengal.** Recent observations show Lucknow-Airport highs of 33.5–33.8°C on August 29, near or slightly above normal, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation have moderated daytime heating across Uttar Pradesh. This setup supports the market’s leading 58% implied probability for 33°C or higher, with the 32°C outcome at 32.5% reflecting uncertainty from variable rainfall intensity. Official IMD guidance, which includes no warnings for extreme heat, anchors trader sentiment ahead of the day’s verified maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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