**Forecast consensus from NWS, NOAA, and private models points to an overnight low near 60°F for Denver on September 3, 2026, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63°F ranges.** Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeast winds allowing modest radiative cooling, dew points in the mid-40s°F, and no significant cold advection or frontal passage. This yields projected minima of 60–63°F at Denver International Airport, the likely resolution station, consistent with recent above-average September temperatures. Historical climatology places the average low near 54°F, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence with minimal model spread. Key uncertainties include exact timing of the daily minimum, urban heat-island effects versus airport readings, and any late-evening clearing that could enhance cooling. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming model runs and NWS updates, keeping the top four buckets nearly even at 26–28% each.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 3?
60-61°F 29%
58-59°F 28%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
53°F or below
2%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 29%
58-59°F 28%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
53°F or below
$351 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$53 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$2 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$2 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$3 Vol.
29%
62-63°F
$223 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$96 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NWS, NOAA, and private models points to an overnight low near 60°F for Denver on September 3, 2026, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63°F ranges.**
Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeast winds allowing modest radiative cooling, dew points in the mid-40s°F, and no significant cold advection or frontal passage. This yields projected minima of 60–63°F at Denver International Airport, the likely resolution station, consistent with recent above-average September temperatures.
Historical climatology places the average low near 54°F, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence with minimal model spread. Key uncertainties include exact timing of the daily minimum, urban heat-island effects versus airport readings, and any late-evening clearing that could enhance cooling. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming model runs and NWS updates, keeping the top four buckets nearly even at 26–28% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,251End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NWS, NOAA, and private models points to an overnight low near 60°F for Denver on September 3, 2026, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63°F ranges.**
Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeast winds allowing modest radiative cooling, dew points in the mid-40s°F, and no significant cold advection or frontal passage. This yields projected minima of 60–63°F at Denver International Airport, the likely resolution station, consistent with recent above-average September temperatures.
Historical climatology places the average low near 54°F, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence with minimal model spread. Key uncertainties include exact timing of the daily minimum, urban heat-island effects versus airport readings, and any late-evening clearing that could enhance cooling. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming model runs and NWS updates, keeping the top four buckets nearly even at 26–28% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,251End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from NWS, NOAA, and private models points to an overnight low near 60°F for Denver on September 3, 2026, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63°F ranges.** Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeast winds allowing modest radiative cooling, dew points in the mid-40s°F, and no significant cold advection or frontal passage. This yields projected minima of 60–63°F at Denver International Airport, the likely resolution station, consistent with recent above-average September temperatures. Historical climatology places the average low near 54°F, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence with minimal model spread. Key uncertainties include exact timing of the daily minimum, urban heat-island effects versus airport readings, and any late-evening clearing that could enhance cooling. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming model runs and NWS updates, keeping the top four buckets nearly even at 26–28% each.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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