Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan of 27°C on September 3, supported by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that limit daytime heating and evapotranspiration. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where average highs near 30°C are moderated by cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus at 66% for 27°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 28°C or higher tied to any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
27°C 81%
28°C 16%
29°C 3%
30°C <1%
$25,011 Vol.
$25,011 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
81%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 81%
28°C 16%
29°C 3%
30°C <1%
$25,011 Vol.
$25,011 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$607 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,280 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,435 Vol.
81%
28°C
$3,089 Vol.
16%
29°C
$2,764 Vol.
3%
30°C
$2,808 Vol.
1%
31°C
$3,258 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,710 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan of 27°C on September 3, supported by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that limit daytime heating and evapotranspiration. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where average highs near 30°C are moderated by cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus at 66% for 27°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 28°C or higher tied to any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25,011End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan of 27°C on September 3, supported by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that limit daytime heating and evapotranspiration. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where average highs near 30°C are moderated by cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus at 66% for 27°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 28°C or higher tied to any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,011End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan of 27°C on September 3, supported by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that limit daytime heating and evapotranspiration. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where average highs near 30°C are moderated by cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus at 66% for 27°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 28°C or higher tied to any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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