Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver indicate overnight lows for September 4 in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup favors readings near 60–63°F, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.9°F, though variable cloud cover or brief wind shifts could allow localized drops toward 55°F or below. Model spread remains modest, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (39%) to 55°F or lower while spreading the balance across 56–73°F bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the narrow margin between adjacent temperature thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
55°F or below 78%
56-57°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
78%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F or higher
19%
55°F or below 78%
56-57°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
78%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$2 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver indicate overnight lows for September 4 in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup favors readings near 60–63°F, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.9°F, though variable cloud cover or brief wind shifts could allow localized drops toward 55°F or below. Model spread remains modest, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (39%) to 55°F or lower while spreading the balance across 56–73°F bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the narrow margin between adjacent temperature thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver indicate overnight lows for September 4 in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup favors readings near 60–63°F, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.9°F, though variable cloud cover or brief wind shifts could allow localized drops toward 55°F or below. Model spread remains modest, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (39%) to 55°F or lower while spreading the balance across 56–73°F bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the narrow margin between adjacent temperature thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver indicate overnight lows for September 4 in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup favors readings near 60–63°F, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.9°F, though variable cloud cover or brief wind shifts could allow localized drops toward 55°F or below. Model spread remains modest, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (39%) to 55°F or lower while spreading the balance across 56–73°F bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the narrow margin between adjacent temperature thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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