**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 90-91°F and 92-93°F ranges as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 57% and 24% respectively.** These align with above-normal late-summer warmth, as the seasonal average high sits near 84°F, while model consensus and recent clear conditions support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. Minor forecast spreads across sources (87–93°F range) reflect typical uncertainties in afternoon heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind shifts that can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against historical variability and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations, with limited probability assigned to extremes outside the 88–95°F window given stable synoptic patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time temperature trends through peak heating hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 3?
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 22%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
$21,442 Vol.
$21,442 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 22%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
$21,442 Vol.
$21,442 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
$982 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$550 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,388 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,104 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$2,615 Vol.
10%
90-91°F
$4,529 Vol.
57%
92-93°F
$5,026 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$1,858 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$716 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$502 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 90-91°F and 92-93°F ranges as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 57% and 24% respectively.** These align with above-normal late-summer warmth, as the seasonal average high sits near 84°F, while model consensus and recent clear conditions support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. Minor forecast spreads across sources (87–93°F range) reflect typical uncertainties in afternoon heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind shifts that can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against historical variability and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations, with limited probability assigned to extremes outside the 88–95°F window given stable synoptic patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time temperature trends through peak heating hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,442End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 90-91°F and 92-93°F ranges as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 57% and 24% respectively.** These align with above-normal late-summer warmth, as the seasonal average high sits near 84°F, while model consensus and recent clear conditions support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. Minor forecast spreads across sources (87–93°F range) reflect typical uncertainties in afternoon heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind shifts that can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against historical variability and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations, with limited probability assigned to extremes outside the 88–95°F window given stable synoptic patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time temperature trends through peak heating hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,442End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 90-91°F and 92-93°F ranges as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 57% and 24% respectively.** These align with above-normal late-summer warmth, as the seasonal average high sits near 84°F, while model consensus and recent clear conditions support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. Minor forecast spreads across sources (87–93°F range) reflect typical uncertainties in afternoon heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind shifts that can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against historical variability and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations, with limited probability assigned to extremes outside the 88–95°F window given stable synoptic patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time temperature trends through peak heating hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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