**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 29 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 10–13°C because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band under typical late-winter conditions.** Current evening readings sit near 13–14°C with southerly winds of 10–20 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 7–9°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance (including NHC/NOAA-style equivalents from South African services and global models) projects the low occurring near dawn, with values most often cited between 11°C and 13°C; some runs dip to 10°C under clearer patches while others hold near 12–13°C due to slightly stronger mixing from persistent southerlies. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing a stable baseline that reinforces the even distribution of probabilities. With resolution imminent and no major synoptic shifts (such as a cold front or significant cloud cover change) expected, the market captures genuine uncertainty among traders about the precise minimum at the official station rather than any divergent large-scale drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
12°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C 48%
8°C 5%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
50%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C 48%
8°C 5%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
8°C
$227 Vol.
5%
9°C
$65 Vol.
5%
10°C
$5 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 29 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 10–13°C because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band under typical late-winter conditions.**
Current evening readings sit near 13–14°C with southerly winds of 10–20 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 7–9°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance (including NHC/NOAA-style equivalents from South African services and global models) projects the low occurring near dawn, with values most often cited between 11°C and 13°C; some runs dip to 10°C under clearer patches while others hold near 12–13°C due to slightly stronger mixing from persistent southerlies.
Historical climatology for late August shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing a stable baseline that reinforces the even distribution of probabilities. With resolution imminent and no major synoptic shifts (such as a cold front or significant cloud cover change) expected, the market captures genuine uncertainty among traders about the precise minimum at the official station rather than any divergent large-scale drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$953End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 29 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 10–13°C because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band under typical late-winter conditions.**
Current evening readings sit near 13–14°C with southerly winds of 10–20 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 7–9°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance (including NHC/NOAA-style equivalents from South African services and global models) projects the low occurring near dawn, with values most often cited between 11°C and 13°C; some runs dip to 10°C under clearer patches while others hold near 12–13°C due to slightly stronger mixing from persistent southerlies.
Historical climatology for late August shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing a stable baseline that reinforces the even distribution of probabilities. With resolution imminent and no major synoptic shifts (such as a cold front or significant cloud cover change) expected, the market captures genuine uncertainty among traders about the precise minimum at the official station rather than any divergent large-scale drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$953End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 29 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 10–13°C because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band under typical late-winter conditions.** Current evening readings sit near 13–14°C with southerly winds of 10–20 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 7–9°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance (including NHC/NOAA-style equivalents from South African services and global models) projects the low occurring near dawn, with values most often cited between 11°C and 13°C; some runs dip to 10°C under clearer patches while others hold near 12–13°C due to slightly stronger mixing from persistent southerlies. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing a stable baseline that reinforces the even distribution of probabilities. With resolution imminent and no major synoptic shifts (such as a cold front or significant cloud cover change) expected, the market captures genuine uncertainty among traders about the precise minimum at the official station rather than any divergent large-scale drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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