Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 3, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C, with partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity near 70–85%, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Northwest winds of 5–9 m/s and dew points around 21–23°C support this range, consistent with typical early-September subtropical conditions where monsoon moisture and urban heat effects keep overnight lows above the seasonal 24°C baseline. Trader consensus between 25°C and 26°C reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers or wind shifts that could alter the minimum by 1°C, with official station readings from Shenzhen Bao’an or equivalent sites serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated NHC or local meteorological agency guidance later today could refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
25°C 48%
24°C 42%
22°C 3%
20°C or below <1%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
42%
25°C
48%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 42%
22°C 3%
20°C or below <1%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
42%
25°C
48%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 3, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C, with partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity near 70–85%, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Northwest winds of 5–9 m/s and dew points around 21–23°C support this range, consistent with typical early-September subtropical conditions where monsoon moisture and urban heat effects keep overnight lows above the seasonal 24°C baseline. Trader consensus between 25°C and 26°C reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers or wind shifts that could alter the minimum by 1°C, with official station readings from Shenzhen Bao’an or equivalent sites serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated NHC or local meteorological agency guidance later today could refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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