**Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 94–95°F in Houston on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model consensus around late-summer norms.** Average daily highs for early September sit near 91.5°F, with recent days showing readings in the low-to-mid 90s amid typical Gulf moisture and southerly flow. Official station data from Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, combined with minimal convective cooling or frontal passage in the 24–48 hours prior, aligned closely with this narrow band. Heat index values exceeding 100°F further supported sustained warmth despite scattered afternoon storms. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or a last-minute data revision at the primary reporting site that shifts the official maximum outside the 94–95°F window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$54,150 Vol.
$54,150 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
88-89°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$54,150 Vol.
$54,150 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
88-89°F
$8,280 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$4,537 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$3,199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 94–95°F in Houston on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model consensus around late-summer norms.** Average daily highs for early September sit near 91.5°F, with recent days showing readings in the low-to-mid 90s amid typical Gulf moisture and southerly flow. Official station data from Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, combined with minimal convective cooling or frontal passage in the 24–48 hours prior, aligned closely with this narrow band. Heat index values exceeding 100°F further supported sustained warmth despite scattered afternoon storms. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or a last-minute data revision at the primary reporting site that shifts the official maximum outside the 94–95°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$54,150End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 94–95°F in Houston on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model consensus around late-summer norms.** Average daily highs for early September sit near 91.5°F, with recent days showing readings in the low-to-mid 90s amid typical Gulf moisture and southerly flow. Official station data from Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, combined with minimal convective cooling or frontal passage in the 24–48 hours prior, aligned closely with this narrow band. Heat index values exceeding 100°F further supported sustained warmth despite scattered afternoon storms. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or a last-minute data revision at the primary reporting site that shifts the official maximum outside the 94–95°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,150End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 94–95°F in Houston on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model consensus around late-summer norms.** Average daily highs for early September sit near 91.5°F, with recent days showing readings in the low-to-mid 90s amid typical Gulf moisture and southerly flow. Official station data from Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, combined with minimal convective cooling or frontal passage in the 24–48 hours prior, aligned closely with this narrow band. Heat index values exceeding 100°F further supported sustained warmth despite scattered afternoon storms. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or a last-minute data revision at the primary reporting site that shifts the official maximum outside the 94–95°F window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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