**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by morning showers, thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover have positioned the 68-69°F bin as the clear market leader at 52.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a daytime high near 68°F for Seattle on August 29, with rain and thunderstorms tapering after early afternoon and light southerly winds limiting warming. This aligns with observed temperatures climbing only into the mid-to-upper 60s by midday. Seasonal norms average near 75°F, but the current setup—enhanced moisture and reduced solar heating—suppresses readings, keeping 70-71°F a distant second at 19.5%. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with lower bins reflecting downside risks from heavier rain and higher bins requiring unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
68-69°F 54%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 11%
$17,741 Vol.
$17,741 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
54%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 54%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 11%
$17,741 Vol.
$17,741 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
61°F or below
$3,030 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$2,580 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$4,061 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$1,971 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$2,955 Vol.
54%
70-71°F
$1,154 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$860 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by morning showers, thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover have positioned the 68-69°F bin as the clear market leader at 52.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a daytime high near 68°F for Seattle on August 29, with rain and thunderstorms tapering after early afternoon and light southerly winds limiting warming. This aligns with observed temperatures climbing only into the mid-to-upper 60s by midday. Seasonal norms average near 75°F, but the current setup—enhanced moisture and reduced solar heating—suppresses readings, keeping 70-71°F a distant second at 19.5%. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with lower bins reflecting downside risks from heavier rain and higher bins requiring unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$17,741End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by morning showers, thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover have positioned the 68-69°F bin as the clear market leader at 52.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a daytime high near 68°F for Seattle on August 29, with rain and thunderstorms tapering after early afternoon and light southerly winds limiting warming. This aligns with observed temperatures climbing only into the mid-to-upper 60s by midday. Seasonal norms average near 75°F, but the current setup—enhanced moisture and reduced solar heating—suppresses readings, keeping 70-71°F a distant second at 19.5%. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with lower bins reflecting downside risks from heavier rain and higher bins requiring unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,741End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by morning showers, thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover have positioned the 68-69°F bin as the clear market leader at 52.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a daytime high near 68°F for Seattle on August 29, with rain and thunderstorms tapering after early afternoon and light southerly winds limiting warming. This aligns with observed temperatures climbing only into the mid-to-upper 60s by midday. Seasonal norms average near 75°F, but the current setup—enhanced moisture and reduced solar heating—suppresses readings, keeping 70-71°F a distant second at 19.5%. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with lower bins reflecting downside risks from heavier rain and higher bins requiring unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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